L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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BK Hacken v IF Elfsborg

2026-11-22 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prévision 49.79%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.90%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.32%49.79%49.92%51.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.831.831.9362.50%54.70%54.64%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.12%3.83cote équitable
EV +7.08%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.162%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.69%26.04%26.04%27.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.583.604.1032.26%27.91%27.78%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.09%4.15cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.88%24.17%24.04%25.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.69%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : BK Hacken (Local) : 49.79% ; IF Elfsborg (Visiteur) : 26.12% ; Match nul : 24.09%. Pour IF Elfsborg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.10, pour une espérance positive de +7.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 13:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 13:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:58
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -7.88%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.753%E -0.198%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-09 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -2.06%E -0.549%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-09 12:54
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -2.06%E -0.549%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-09 13:00
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.82%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -3.10%E -0.837%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.53%EV -6.53%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -10.87%E -6.07%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 12:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -11.37%E -6.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-09 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -11.87%E -6.71%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-09 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-09 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 13:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.88%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 17:18
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -5.39%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 12:44
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:20
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.84%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:24
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -14.36%E -8.35%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-09 10:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -5.39%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.51%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -16.35%E -9.73%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-09 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 51.49%EV -20.33%E -12.71%K -33.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.97%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.54%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%21.4%2026-11-09 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.57%EV -11.87%E -6.71%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.55%EV -18.51%E -5.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-09 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -19.04%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-09 11:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 50.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%16.8%2026-11-09 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20

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