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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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BK Hacken v IF Elfsborg

2026-11-22 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

BK Hacken (主队)

预测 49.79%2.01公平赔率
EV -3.90%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -4.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
47.32%49.79%49.92%51.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.831.831.9362.50%54.70%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

IF Elfsborg (客队)

预测 26.12%3.83公平赔率
EV +7.08%
优势 +1.73%
Kelly +2.28%
增长率 +0.162%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
23.69%26.04%26.04%27.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.583.604.1032.26%27.91%27.78%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.09%4.15公平赔率
EV -3.64%
优势 -0.910%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.88%24.17%24.04%25.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.69%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：BK Hacken (主队)：49.79%；IF Elfsborg (客队)：26.12%；平局：24.09%。 对于“IF Elfsborg (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.10，由此产生+7.08%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 13:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 13:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:58
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -7.88%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.753%E -0.198%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-09 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -2.06%E -0.549%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-09 12:54
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -2.06%E -0.549%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-09 13:00
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.82%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -3.10%E -0.837%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.53%EV -6.53%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -10.87%E -6.07%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 12:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -11.37%E -6.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-09 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -11.87%E -6.71%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-09 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-09 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 13:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.88%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 17:18
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -5.39%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 12:44
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:20
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.84%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:24
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -14.36%E -8.35%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-09 10:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -5.39%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.51%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -16.35%E -9.73%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-09 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 51.49%EV -20.33%E -12.71%K -33.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.97%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.54%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%21.4%2026-11-09 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.57%EV -11.87%E -6.71%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.55%EV -18.51%E -5.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-09 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -19.04%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-09 11:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 50.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%16.8%2026-11-09 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20

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