Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken v Djurgardens IF

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 17:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 2–4 Djurgardens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 38.63%2.59fair odd
EV +0.450%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.93%38.54%38.53%40.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.392.6046.51%42.16%41.84%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 36.27%2.76fair odd
EV -0.265%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.152%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.13%36.30%36.30%37.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.10%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV +0.393%
Edge +0.098%
Kelly +0.131%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%25.16%25.17%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.694.0029.41%27.29%27.10%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 38.63%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 36.27%; Draw: 25.10%. For BK Hacken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.450%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.93%EV +0.450%E +0.173%K +0.281%G +0.001%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.80%EV -7.88%E -3.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.51%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.05%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.44%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:55
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.64%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 00:09
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 16:45
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 15:35
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 16:35
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:35
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:54
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:54
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-06 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-06 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-06 16:55
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.70%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -4.88%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:35
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -9.98%E -4.28%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -9.98%E -4.28%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:55
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 16:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:29
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-06 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-06 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -14.77%E -6.29%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-06 15:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.43%EV -11.91%E -5.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-06 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -13.84%E -6.21%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-06 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.51%EV -16.16%E -7.45%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.28%EV -11.87%E -4.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-06 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -16.94%E -7.88%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.59%E -7.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:55
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-07-06 16:50

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.