La escuela de los momiosEspañol
BK Hacken v Djurgardens IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
BK Hacken (Local)
Predicción 38.63%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.450%
Ventaja +0.173%
Kelly +0.281%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.93%38.54%38.53%40.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.392.6046.51%42.16%41.84%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Djurgardens IF (Visitante)
Predicción 36.27%2.76momio equitativo
EV -0.265%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.152%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.13%36.30%36.30%37.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.10%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.10%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.393%
Ventaja +0.098%
Kelly +0.131%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.86%25.16%25.17%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.694.0029.41%27.29%27.10%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.93%EV +0.450%E +0.173%K +0.281%G +0.001% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.80%EV -7.88%E -3.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.51%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.05%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.44%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| GTbets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.64%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 00:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 16:45 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 15:35 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| BetAnything | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.70%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -4.88%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 16:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-06 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-06 16:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-06 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-06 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -9.98%E -4.28%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -9.98%E -4.28%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 16:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 16:30 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-06 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-06 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -14.77%E -6.29%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-06 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.43%EV -11.91%E -5.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-06 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-06 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -13.84%E -6.21%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.51%EV -16.16%E -7.45%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.28%EV -11.87%E -4.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-07-06 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -16.94%E -7.88%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.59%E -7.21%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |