L’École des cotes

BK Hacken v Djurgardens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-06 17:00 UTC

Score final : BK Hacken 2–4 Djurgardens IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Prévision 38.63%2.59cote équitable
EV +0.450%
Avantage +0.173%
Kelly +0.281%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.93%38.54%38.53%40.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.392.6046.51%42.16%41.84%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Djurgardens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.27%2.76cote équitable
EV -0.265%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.152%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.13%36.30%36.30%37.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.10%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.10%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.393%
Avantage +0.098%
Kelly +0.131%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.86%25.16%25.17%26.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.663.694.0029.41%27.29%27.10%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.93%EV +0.450%E +0.173%K +0.281%G +0.001%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.80%EV -7.88%E -3.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:35
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.51%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.05%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.44%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:55
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.64%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 00:09
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 16:45
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 15:35
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 16:35
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:35
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:35
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 16:30
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:54
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:54
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.88%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.08%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-06 16:55
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-06 16:55
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%EV -0.265%E -0.096%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.393%E +0.098%K +0.131%G +0.001%2.5%2026-07-06 16:55
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.70%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -4.88%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:35
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.50%E -2.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:55
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 16:45
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 16:45
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 14:10
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 16:44
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 16:35
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 16:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 15:35
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 15:50
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -9.98%E -4.28%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -9.98%E -4.28%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 16:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.71%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 16:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:29
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 16:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-06 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-06 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -14.77%E -6.29%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-06 15:35
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.43%EV -11.91%E -5.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 16:25
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-06 16:25
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -13.84%E -6.21%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-06 16:55
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.51%EV -16.16%E -7.45%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.28%EV -11.87%E -4.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-06 16:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -16.94%E -7.88%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.59%E -7.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:55
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-07-06 16:50