Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK v Hammarby IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 12:00 UTC

Final: AIK 3–2 Hammarby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd
EV +4.61%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.76%13.46%13.43%15.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.816.837.8018.18%14.68%14.64%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 68.08%1.47fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.54%68.03%68.02%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4476.92%73.42%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.51%5.40fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.193%
Kelly +0.236%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.12%18.51%18.55%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.904.825.4622.22%20.41%20.73%18.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 13.41%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 68.08%; Draw: 18.51%. For AIK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.46. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +4.61%E +0.591%K +0.678%G +0.031%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 11:45
Betsson🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +1.93%E +0.253%K +0.292%G +0.006%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 11:40
NordicBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +1.93%E +0.253%K +0.292%G +0.006%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 11:50
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -10.81%E -8.25%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 11:50
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:50
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 11:58
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 11:58
Pinnacle🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.95%EV -1.29%E -0.176%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.59%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.46%EV +1.05%E +0.193%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.9%2026-08-30 11:50
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -2.77%E -0.382%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -10.81%E -8.25%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.64%E -1.85%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.64%E -1.85%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.64%E -1.85%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:45
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:55
BetAnything🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:55
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:35
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:55
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:30
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:30
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -8.77%E -6.55%K -25.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.13%E -7.68%K -31.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 11:50
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:45
GTbets🎯6.98I 14.33%NM 13.61%EV -6.39%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Coolbet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.94%EV -7.46%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -1.96%E -1.36%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 11:50
1xBet🎯6.76I 14.79%NM 14.10%EV -9.34%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.11%EV -3.32%E -2.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.80%EV -6.17%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:59
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 11:40
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:54
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:25
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.54%EV -10.24%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 13.94%EV -15.51%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.57%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.54%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:30
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 11:45
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -19.53%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:30
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -26.24%E -4.77%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-08-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-08-30 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-08-30 11:45
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.19%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.69%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11%2.5%2026-08-30 11:55