默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AIK v Hammarby IF

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 12:00 UTC

最终结果: AIK 3–2 Hammarby IF

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AIK (主队)

预测 13.41%7.46公平赔率
EV +4.61%
优势 +0.591%
Kelly +0.678%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 7.80

博彩公司预测分布
11.76%13.46%13.43%15.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.816.837.8018.18%14.68%14.64%12.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hammarby IF (客队)

预测 68.08%1.47公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -1.36%
Kelly -4.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布
64.54%68.03%68.02%70.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.361.361.4476.92%73.42%73.53%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.51%5.40公平赔率
EV +1.05%
优势 +0.193%
Kelly +0.236%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 5.46

博彩公司预测分布
17.12%18.51%18.55%20.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.904.825.4622.22%20.41%20.73%18.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AIK (主队):13.41%;Hammarby IF (客队):68.08%;平局:18.51%。 对于“AIK (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.46。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.80,对应+4.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +4.61%E +0.591%K +0.678%G +0.031%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 11:45
Betsson🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +1.93%E +0.253%K +0.292%G +0.006%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 11:40
NordicBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +1.93%E +0.253%K +0.292%G +0.006%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 11:50
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -10.81%E -8.25%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 11:50
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:50
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 11:58
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.584%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 11:58
Pinnacle🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.95%EV -1.29%E -0.176%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.59%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.46%EV +1.05%E +0.193%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.9%2026-08-30 11:50
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -2.77%E -0.382%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -10.81%E -8.25%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.64%E -1.85%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.64%E -1.85%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.64%E -1.85%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:45
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:55
BetAnything🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:55
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:35
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:55
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:30
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:30
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -8.77%E -6.55%K -25.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.13%E -7.68%K -31.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 11:50
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.12%E -0.875%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:45
GTbets🎯6.98I 14.33%NM 13.61%EV -6.39%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Coolbet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.94%EV -7.46%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -1.96%E -1.36%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 11:50
1xBet🎯6.76I 14.79%NM 14.10%EV -9.34%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.11%EV -3.32%E -2.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.80%EV -6.17%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:59
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.69%E -3.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:45
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 11:40
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.05%E -4.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:54
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:25
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.54%EV -10.24%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:30
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.83%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 13.94%EV -15.51%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.57%EV -11.49%E -8.84%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.54%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.61%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 11:30
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 11:45
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.09%E -5.99%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -19.53%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -9.45%E -7.11%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:30
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -26.24%E -4.77%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -16.72%E -3.71%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 11:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-08-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-08-30 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-08-30 11:45
Matchbook◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-08-30 11:45
Smarkets◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.19%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.69%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11%2.5%2026-08-30 11:55