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St Mirren v Motherwell

2026-08-30 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren (Local)

Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.95%36.21%36.98%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.562.552.6039.68%39.03%39.22%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Motherwell (Visit)

Prediction 33.98%2.94fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -0.956%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.00%34.12%33.16%37.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.682.812.8942.55%37.25%35.59%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.68%29.86%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.133.123.1932.26%31.99%32.05%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St Mirren (Local): 36.32%; Motherwell (Visit): 33.98%; Draw: 29.70%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.89, with an expected value of -1.81%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -13.36%E -5.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -13.36%E -5.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -20.15%E -8.58%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.11%EV -6.66%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.00%EV -1.81%E -0.625%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -3.17%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 20:00
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -3.17%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:55
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -15.06%E -6.02%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 19:00
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -8.48%E -3.36%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.16%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -8.48%E -3.36%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.16%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20%6.0%2026-08-23 01:50

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