默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St Mirren v Motherwell

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 13:59 UTC

最终结果: St Mirren 3–3 Motherwell

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St Mirren (主队)

预测 37.20%2.69公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -0.826%
Kelly -1.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
36.27%37.27%37.16%39.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.492.502.6342.55%40.18%40.00%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Motherwell (客队)

预测 34.57%2.89公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
32.90%34.61%34.58%36.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.682.702.8040.00%37.35%37.04%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.23%3.54公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.337%
Kelly -0.472%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.48%28.12%28.26%28.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.303.303.5032.79%30.26%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St Mirren (主队):37.20%;Motherwell (客队):34.57%;平局:28.23%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.50,期望值为-1.18%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.85%EV -2.17%E -0.826%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.73%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.42%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.18%E -0.337%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.83%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -1.75%E -0.502%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:15
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.90%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -5.97%E -2.20%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.90%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -5.97%E -2.20%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.86%EV -5.89%E -2.33%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.96%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:34
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:18
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.69%EV -8.05%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.50%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.50%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.50%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -1.18%E -0.337%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -9.61%E -3.96%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -9.08%E -3.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -9.61%E -3.96%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.98%E -4.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.60%EV -11.85%E -4.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -13.89%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 13:21
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -13.58%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.06%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -11.47%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.85%E -4.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.06%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -11.47%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.85%E -4.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.06%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-08-30 13:50