Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St Mirren v Motherwell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 13:59 UTC

Score final : St Mirren 3–3 Motherwell

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St Mirren (Local)

Prévision 37.20%2.69cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.27%37.27%37.16%39.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.6342.55%40.18%40.00%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Motherwell (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.57%2.89cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.90%34.61%34.58%36.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.702.8040.00%37.35%37.04%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.23%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.337%
Kelly -0.472%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%28.12%28.26%28.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.303.303.5032.79%30.26%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : St Mirren (Local) : 37.20% ; Motherwell (Visiteur) : 34.57% ; Match nul : 28.23%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.18% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.85%EV -2.17%E -0.826%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.73%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.42%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.18%E -0.337%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.83%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -1.75%E -0.502%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:15
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.90%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -5.97%E -2.20%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.90%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -5.97%E -2.20%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.86%EV -5.89%E -2.33%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.96%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:34
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:18
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.69%EV -8.05%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.75%E -3.13%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.39%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.50%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.50%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.50%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -1.18%E -0.337%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.66%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -9.61%E -3.96%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -9.08%E -3.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -9.61%E -3.96%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.98%E -4.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.60%EV -11.85%E -4.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -13.89%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 13:21
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -13.58%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.65%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.06%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -11.47%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.85%E -4.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.06%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -11.47%E -4.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.85%E -4.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.06%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-08-30 13:50