Language:English
St Mirren v Motherwell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Mirren (Local)
Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd
EV +8.45%
Edge +2.31%
Kelly +3.19%
Growth +0.269%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%29.76%29.56%32.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.6535.09%32.31%32.26%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motherwell (Visit)
Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.78%41.35%41.54%43.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.262.252.3850.00%44.24%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.87%3.46fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%28.89%28.89%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.233.253.3535.09%30.98%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 29.71%; Motherwell (Visit): 41.42%; Draw: 28.87%. For St Mirren (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV +8.45%E +2.31%K +3.19%G +0.269% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.28%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -8.76%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -1.36%E -0.408%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -1.36%E -0.408%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.04%EV -2.26%E -0.957%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -8.47%E -3.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.03%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -1.43%E -0.601%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -1.43%E -0.601%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.77%EV -14.27%E -6.89%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.11%EV -14.25%E -4.80%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.02%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.85%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.20%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.61%EV -17.17%E -8.58%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.20%EV -17.71%E -6.22%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |