مدرسة الاحتمالات

St Mirren v Motherwell

البداية: 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

St Mirren (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.71%3.37السعر العادل
EV +8.45%
الأفضلية +2.31%
Kelly +3.19%
النمو +0.269%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.32%29.76%29.56%32.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.103.103.6535.09%32.31%32.26%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Motherwell (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.42%2.41السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.601%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.78%41.35%41.54%43.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.262.252.3850.00%44.24%44.44%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.87%3.46السعر العادل
EV -3.28%
الأفضلية -0.978%
Kelly -1.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.05%28.89%28.89%30.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.233.253.3535.09%30.98%30.77%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV +8.45%E +2.31%K +3.19%G +0.269%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.28%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -8.76%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -1.36%E -0.408%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:20
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -1.36%E -0.408%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:20
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:19
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.04%EV -2.26%E -0.957%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 19:20
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:20
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -8.47%E -3.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.03%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:05
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:20
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:43
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:45
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 19:21
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:25
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:20
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:20
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 18:25
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:24
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:25
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:10
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 19:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:25
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -1.43%E -0.601%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:34
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -1.43%E -0.601%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:34
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 18:30
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.77%EV -14.27%E -6.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.11%EV -14.25%E -4.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-21 19:25
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:00
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:00
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:00
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 17:50
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.02%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.85%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 19:25
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 19:25
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 19:25
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.20%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.61%EV -17.17%E -8.58%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.20%EV -17.71%E -6.22%K -9.58%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 18:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-02-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-02-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-02-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-02-21 19:25
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-02-21 19:25