La escuela de los momiosEspañol
St Mirren v Motherwell
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Mirren (Local)
Predicción 29.71%3.37momio equitativo
EV +8.45%
Ventaja +2.31%
Kelly +3.19%
Crecimiento +0.269%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%29.76%29.56%32.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.103.103.6535.09%32.31%32.26%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motherwell (Visitante)
Predicción 41.42%2.41momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.78%41.35%41.54%43.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.262.252.3850.00%44.24%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.87%3.46momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.05%28.89%28.89%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.233.253.3535.09%30.98%30.77%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV +8.45%E +2.31%K +3.19%G +0.269% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.28%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -8.76%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -1.36%E -0.408%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -1.36%E -0.408%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.04%EV -2.26%E -0.957%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -8.47%E -3.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.03%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:43 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:21 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -1.43%E -0.601%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -1.43%E -0.601%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.77%EV -14.27%E -6.89%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.11%EV -14.25%E -4.80%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.02%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.85%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.20%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.61%EV -17.17%E -8.58%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.20%EV -17.71%E -6.22%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |