Language:English
St Mirren v Livingston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Mirren (Local)
Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -6.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.79%56.12%56.02%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.661.7064.52%60.62%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Livingston (Visit)
Prediction 19.36%5.16fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +0.496%
Kelly +0.611%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.64%19.30%19.36%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.834.805.3022.22%20.69%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.245%
Kelly +0.324%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%24.58%24.62%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.804.1028.57%26.32%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 56.00%; Livingston (Visit): 19.36%; Draw: 24.64%. For Livingston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.63%E +0.496%K +0.611%G +0.016% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +1.01%E +0.245%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.78%EV -2.41%E -0.478%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.69%E -0.681%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.69%E -0.681%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -8.36%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 05:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.15%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.15%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.81%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.98%EV -4.34%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -8.36%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 05:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.32%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.32%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.72%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 05:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.99%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 05:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.99%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -11.52%E -7.29%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.44%EV -11.90%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 04:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.95%EV -13.20%E -8.52%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-23 05:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67% | 15.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67% | 15.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 42.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 10.87% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 46.26% | 114.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |