مدرسة الاحتمالات

St Mirren v Livingston

البداية: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

St Mirren (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.00%1.79السعر العادل
EV -4.80%
الأفضلية -2.82%
Kelly -6.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.79%56.12%56.02%59.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.651.661.7064.52%60.62%60.24%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Livingston (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.36%5.16السعر العادل
EV +2.63%
الأفضلية +0.496%
Kelly +0.611%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.64%19.30%19.36%20.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.834.805.3022.22%20.69%20.83%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.64%4.06السعر العادل
EV +1.01%
الأفضلية +0.245%
Kelly +0.324%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.80%24.58%24.62%25.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.803.804.1028.57%26.32%26.32%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.63%E +0.496%K +0.611%G +0.016%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +1.01%E +0.245%K +0.324%G +0.003%7.0%2026-04-21 16:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.78%EV -2.41%E -0.478%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 07:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.69%E -0.681%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 20:10
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.69%E -0.681%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 20:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 07:00
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -8.36%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 05:54
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 17:19
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.15%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 17:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.15%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 17:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.81%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.98%EV -4.34%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -8.36%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 05:59
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 20:10
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 20:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:10
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:10
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.32%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:23
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.32%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:59
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.72%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 20:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 14:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 14:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 20:10
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 14:04
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 07:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:49
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 07:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 02:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 07:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 05:09
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 20:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 20:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 03:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.99%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 05:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.99%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 05:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -11.52%E -7.29%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.44%EV -11.90%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 14:05
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:04
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.95%EV -13.20%E -8.52%K -24.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-23 05:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%3.7%2026-04-24 00:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%6.2%2026-04-24 00:34
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%8.4%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%15.4%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%15.4%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 42.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 10.87%1.01I 99.01%NM 46.26%114.0%2026-04-24 03:10