La escuela de los momiosEspañol
St Mirren v Livingston
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Mirren (Local)
Predicción 56.00%1.79momio equitativo
EV -4.80%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -6.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.79%56.12%56.02%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.661.7064.52%60.62%60.24%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Livingston (Visitante)
Predicción 19.36%5.16momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.496%
Kelly +0.611%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.64%19.30%19.36%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.834.805.3022.22%20.69%20.83%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.64%4.06momio equitativo
EV +1.01%
Ventaja +0.245%
Kelly +0.324%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.80%24.58%24.62%25.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.803.804.1028.57%26.32%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.63%E +0.496%K +0.611%G +0.016% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +1.01%E +0.245%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.78%EV -2.41%E -0.478%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.69%E -0.681%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.69%E -0.681%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -8.36%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 05:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.18%E -0.636%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.15%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.15%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 17:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.81%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.98%EV -4.34%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -8.36%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 05:59 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 20:09 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.12%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.32%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:23 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.32%EV -8.16%E -4.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 06:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.72%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -7.05%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 05:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 20:10 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.99%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 05:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.99%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -11.52%E -7.29%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.44%EV -11.90%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 04:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.95%EV -13.20%E -8.52%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-23 05:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67% | 15.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67% | 15.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 42.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 10.87% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 46.26% | 114.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |