Language:English
St Mirren v Kilmarnock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Mirren (Local)
Prediction 46.31%2.16fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.26%46.31%46.30%47.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.002.1054.05%49.55%49.88%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kilmarnock (Visit)
Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.453%
Kelly +0.609%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%26.11%26.11%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.553.553.9029.85%28.16%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.58%27.60%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.373.5331.75%29.64%29.72%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 46.31%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 26.09%; Draw: 27.59%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV +1.77%E +0.453%K +0.609%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.67%E -1.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -2.60%E -0.736%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.74%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.74%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.74%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.67%E -1.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 13:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.69%E -4.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.74%EV -14.32%E -7.74%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.08%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |