La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
St Mirren v Kilmarnock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Mirren (Local)
Predicción 46.31%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.26%46.31%46.30%47.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.022.002.1054.05%49.55%49.88%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kilmarnock (Visitante)
Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.453%
Kelly +0.609%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%26.11%26.11%27.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.553.553.9029.85%28.16%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.59%3.62momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.736%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.58%27.60%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.373.373.5331.75%29.64%29.72%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV +1.77%E +0.453%K +0.609%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.67%E -1.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -2.60%E -0.736%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.74%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.74%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.74%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:56 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.67%E -1.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 13:46 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.69%E -4.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.74%EV -14.32%E -7.74%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.08%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |