L’École des cotes

St Mirren v Kilmarnock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Score final : St Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Mirren (Local)

Prévision 46.31%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.26%46.31%46.30%47.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.022.002.1054.05%49.55%49.88%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kilmarnock (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.09%3.83cote équitable
EV +1.77%
Avantage +0.453%
Kelly +0.609%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.60%26.11%26.11%27.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.553.553.9029.85%28.16%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.59%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.736%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.58%27.60%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.373.5331.75%29.64%29.72%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV +1.77%E +0.453%K +0.609%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.67%E -1.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -2.60%E -0.736%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:58
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:58
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.44%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.74%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.74%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.74%E -1.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:56
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.67%E -1.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:00
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 13:46
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.37%E -3.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.69%E -4.97%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.74%EV -14.32%E -7.74%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.08%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-09 13:59
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%5.0%2026-05-09 14:00