Language:English
St Mirren v Dundee United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Mirren (Local)
Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.65%41.49%41.40%43.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.242.3047.62%45.05%44.64%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundee United (Visit)
Prediction 32.29%3.10fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.544%
Kelly +0.798%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%32.11%32.26%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.903.1537.04%33.81%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.40%26.34%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.52%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 41.42%; Dundee United (Visit): 32.29%; Draw: 26.29%. For Dundee United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 08:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -1.51%E -0.496%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.36%E -5.31%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -1.51%E -0.496%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.74%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.42%E -0.379%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.57%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.39%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -3.52%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 05:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.74%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.51%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.60%EV -6.68%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.89%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.72%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -6.68%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.79%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.97%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -8.62%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 05:07 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -8.62%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.42%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.00% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 0.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |