L’École des cotes

St Mirren v Dundee United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

Score final : St Mirren 1–1 Dundee United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Mirren (Local)

Prévision 41.42%2.41cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.65%41.49%41.40%43.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.242.3047.62%45.05%44.64%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee United (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.29%3.10cote équitable
EV +1.71%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.798%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.86%32.11%32.26%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.962.903.1537.04%33.81%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.379%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.40%26.34%28.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.52%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 00:15
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 00:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 00:15
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 00:15
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 00:15
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 00:15
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 00:15
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 08:09
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 08:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 08:20
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -1.51%E -0.496%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.36%E -5.31%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -1.51%E -0.496%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:15
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 05:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 00:15
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 00:15
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 00:15
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.74%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.42%E -0.379%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 05:11
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 05:05
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 05:05
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.57%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.39%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -3.52%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 05:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 05:05
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 05:10
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.74%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 05:11
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:11
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:11
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:11
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 05:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:11
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 22:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 22:01
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 22:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 22:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 22:00
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.51%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.60%EV -6.68%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.89%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.72%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -6.68%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.79%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 05:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 05:05
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:39
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.97%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 05:05
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -8.62%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 05:07
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -8.62%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 05:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 05:10
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.00%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40