La escuela de los momiosSt Mirren v Dundee United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Mirren (Local)
Predicción 41.42%2.41momio equitativo
EV -4.73%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.65%41.49%41.40%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.242.3047.62%45.05%44.64%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundee United (Visitante)
Predicción 32.29%3.10momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.798%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%32.11%32.26%33.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.903.1537.04%33.81%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.29%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.379%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.39%26.40%26.34%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.52%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.71%E +0.544%K +0.798%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 08:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 08:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.100%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 08:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -1.51%E -0.496%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -11.36%E -5.31%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -1.51%E -0.496%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -3.13%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.74%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.42%E -0.379%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.57%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.39%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -3.52%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 05:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.74%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:11 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:01 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.36%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.51%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.60%EV -6.68%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.89%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.72%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -6.68%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.79%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.00%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.97%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Bovada | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -8.62%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 05:07 |
| BetUS | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -8.62%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.59%E -3.42%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.00% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 0.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |