Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren v Dundee United

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: St Mirren 0–3 Dundee United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren (Local)

Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%39.98%40.14%41.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.4546.51%43.13%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee United (Visit)

Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.494%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.08%33.67%33.89%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.793.0040.00%35.95%35.84%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.35%25.96%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.64%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 40.11%; Dundee United (Visit): 33.83%; Draw: 26.06%. For Dundee United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV +1.48%E +0.494%K +0.741%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 19:04
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +1.48%E +0.494%K +0.741%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 19:48
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -0.209%E -0.071%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -17.90%E -5.68%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 19:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.90%E -0.655%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.90%E -0.655%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 07:10
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.98%EV -4.27%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 02:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:04
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.26%E -0.603%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.94%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.93%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 02:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -10.56%E -4.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.56%E -4.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -7.99%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:11
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 11:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 06:05
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 02:27
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 02:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 02:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 14:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -15.43%E -6.17%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.75%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%4.4%2026-09-18 15:15