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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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St Mirren v Dundee United

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: St Mirren 0–3 Dundee United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Mirren (Local)

Previsão 40.11%2.49odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.708%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.36%39.98%40.14%41.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.322.302.4546.51%43.13%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundee United (Visitante)

Previsão 33.83%2.96odd justa
EV +1.48%
Vantagem +0.494%
Kelly +0.741%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.08%33.67%33.89%35.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.782.793.0040.00%35.95%35.84%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.06%3.84odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.603%
Kelly -0.822%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.28%26.35%25.96%30.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.64%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Mirren (Local): 40.11%; Dundee United (Visitante): 33.83%; Empate: 26.06%. Para Dundee United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.96. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.48%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV +1.48%E +0.494%K +0.741%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 19:04
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +1.48%E +0.494%K +0.741%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 19:48
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -0.209%E -0.071%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -17.90%E -5.68%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 19:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.90%E -0.655%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.90%E -0.655%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 07:10
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.98%EV -4.27%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 02:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:04
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.26%E -0.603%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.94%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.93%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 02:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -10.56%E -4.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.56%E -4.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -7.99%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:11
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 11:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 06:05
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 02:27
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 02:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 02:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 14:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -15.43%E -6.17%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.75%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%4.4%2026-09-18 15:15