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St Mirren v Dundee United

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: St Mirren 0–3 Dundee United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St Mirren (Local)

Predicción 40.11%2.49momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.708%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.36%39.98%40.14%41.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.322.302.4546.51%43.13%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundee United (Visitante)

Predicción 33.83%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +0.494%
Kelly +0.741%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.08%33.67%33.89%35.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.793.0040.00%35.95%35.84%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.603%
Kelly -0.822%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%26.35%25.96%30.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.64%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St Mirren (Local): 40.11%; Dundee United (Visitante): 33.83%; Empate: 26.06%. Para Dundee United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.48%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV +1.48%E +0.494%K +0.741%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 19:04
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +1.48%E +0.494%K +0.741%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 19:48
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -0.209%E -0.071%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -17.90%E -5.68%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 19:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.90%E -0.655%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -1.90%E -0.655%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -2.58%E -0.895%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 07:10
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.98%EV -4.27%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 02:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:04
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.26%E -0.603%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.94%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.93%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 02:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -10.56%E -4.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.56%E -4.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -7.99%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:11
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 11:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 06:05
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 03:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 02:27
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 02:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 02:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.67%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 14:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -15.43%E -6.17%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-09-18 13:10
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.75%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%4.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%4.4%2026-09-18 15:15