The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St Johnstone v Falkirk F.C.

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: St Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk F.C.

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Johnstone (Local)

Prediction 46.10%2.17fair odd
EV -0.895%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.12%45.89%46.08%47.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.82%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visit)

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.33%27.07%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.403.6033.33%30.02%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV +0.461%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.168%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.78%26.84%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.453.7530.30%28.92%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Johnstone (Local): 46.10%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 27.11%; Draw: 26.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.461%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -18.66%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.461%E +0.123%K +0.168%G +0.001%7.6%2026-09-18 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 11:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:26
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -0.895%E -0.416%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 13:29
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -0.895%E -0.416%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.29%EV -4.12%E -1.98%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -2.39%E -0.663%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.97%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 12:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -1.36%E -0.634%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 10:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -1.36%E -0.634%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -0.895%E -0.416%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -17.30%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:13
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 07:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.04%E -5.72%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.12%E -1.98%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 21:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 21:25
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -7.84%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -7.84%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:04
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:43
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:46
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 19:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 19:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:48
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.50%E -5.99%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -4.58%E -2.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -5.04%E -2.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -17.30%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 10:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -17.30%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 10:46
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.09%EV -11.04%E -5.72%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-09-18 14:05
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-09-18 15:20
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-18 14:50