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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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St Johnstone v Falkirk F.C.

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: St Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk F.C.

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone (Local)

Previsão 46.10%2.17odd justa
EV -0.895%
Vantagem -0.416%
Kelly -0.778%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.12%45.89%46.08%47.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.82%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)

Previsão 27.11%3.69odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.663%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%27.33%27.07%30.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.333.403.6033.33%30.02%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV +0.461%
Vantagem +0.123%
Kelly +0.168%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.78%26.78%26.84%27.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.463.453.7530.30%28.92%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Johnstone (Local): 46.10%; Falkirk F.C. (Visitante): 27.11%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.73. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.461%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -18.66%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV +0.461%E +0.123%K +0.168%G +0.001%7.6%2026-09-18 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 11:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:26
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -0.895%E -0.416%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 13:29
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -0.895%E -0.416%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.56%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.29%EV -4.12%E -1.98%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -2.39%E -0.663%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.97%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 12:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -1.36%E -0.634%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 10:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -1.36%E -0.634%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -13.23%E -4.14%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -0.895%E -0.416%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -17.30%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:13
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 07:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.04%E -5.72%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.12%E -1.98%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 21:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 21:25
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.97%E -2.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -7.84%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -7.84%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:04
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:43
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:46
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -3.20%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -14.59%E -4.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 10:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 19:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 19:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:48
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.50%E -5.99%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -4.58%E -2.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -5.04%E -2.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -17.30%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 10:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -5.50%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -17.30%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 10:46
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.09%EV -11.04%E -5.72%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-09-18 14:05
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-09-18 15:20
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-18 14:50