Language:English
St Johnstone v Celtic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Johnstone (Local)
Prediction 16.11%6.21fair odd
EV +4.72%
Edge +0.725%
Kelly +0.857%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.44%15.98%16.03%17.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.865.786.5020.00%17.05%17.30%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Celtic (Visit)
Prediction 62.81%1.59fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -8.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.32%62.96%62.89%65.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.461.5272.46%68.33%68.49%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV +0.127%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%21.06%21.08%21.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.394.404.7523.81%22.78%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Johnstone (Local): 16.11%; Celtic (Visit): 62.81%; Draw: 21.08%. For St Johnstone (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.21. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.72%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV +0.127%E +0.027%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.72%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -3.03%E -0.660%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 07:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -10.81%E -7.61%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -8.30%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -11.44%E -8.11%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.07%E -8.62%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.99%EV -4.95%E -0.839%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.99%EV -4.95%E -0.839%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.32%E -9.65%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.32%E -9.65%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.26%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 07:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.87%EV -9.62%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.85%EV -4.30%E -0.947%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.30%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -10.81%E -7.61%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 04:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -7.67%E -5.22%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-18 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -7.67%E -5.22%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.73%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -19.45%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |