The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St Johnstone v Celtic

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Johnstone (Local)

Prediction 14.98%6.68fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.488%
Kelly +0.570%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 6.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.74%14.93%15.05%15.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.136.106.9017.86%16.30%16.39%14.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celtic (Visit)

Prediction 63.99%1.56fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -11.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.00%64.06%63.98%65.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.66%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.03%4.75fair odd
EV -0.095%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%21.01%20.97%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.384.404.7524.39%22.82%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St Johnstone (Local): 14.98%; Celtic (Visit): 63.99%; Draw: 21.03%. For St Johnstone (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.68. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.90, producing a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV +3.37%E +0.488%K +0.570%G +0.019%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.04%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 11:40
Betsson🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV +3.37%E +0.488%K +0.570%G +0.019%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.04%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 11:44
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -2.63%E -0.404%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -5.94%E -4.04%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV -0.095%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 11:39
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.404%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.30%E -3.58%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 11:40
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -2.63%E -0.404%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 11:39
1xBet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.50%EV -3.38%E -0.523%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -7.22%E -4.98%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.43%EV -3.38%E -0.523%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.65%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 11:44
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -6.37%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.30%E -3.58%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -6.37%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.94%E -4.04%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.37%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.37%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 11:40
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 11:39
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 11:39
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 11:39
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 11:40
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.62%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.50%E -5.94%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.22%E -4.98%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 11:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 11:44
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 11:45
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -9.14%E -6.44%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-12 11:39
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.12%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.42%E -7.44%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-12 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -13.11%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.16%EV -7.86%E -5.46%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -13.11%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.65%EV -9.78%E -6.93%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-12 11:44
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -13.11%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.65%EV -9.78%E -6.93%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-12 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -13.11%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -10.42%E -7.44%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-12 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -13.11%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -10.42%E -7.44%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-12 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -13.11%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -10.42%E -7.44%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-12 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.64%EV -16.11%E -2.88%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.00%EV -11.06%E -7.96%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-12 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%14.6%2026-08-12 11:40

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