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St Johnstone v Celtic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Johnstone (Local)
Predicción 16.11%6.21momio equitativo
EV +4.72%
Ventaja +0.725%
Kelly +0.857%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.44%15.98%16.03%17.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.865.786.5020.00%17.05%17.30%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Celtic (Visitante)
Predicción 62.81%1.59momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -8.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.32%62.96%62.89%65.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.461.5272.46%68.33%68.49%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.08%4.74momio equitativo
EV +0.127%
Ventaja +0.027%
Kelly +0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.88%21.06%21.08%21.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.394.404.7523.81%22.78%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St Johnstone (Local): 16.11%; Celtic (Visitante): 62.81%; Empate: 21.08%. Para St Johnstone (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.21. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.72%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.72%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV +0.127%E +0.027%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.72%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -3.03%E -0.660%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 07:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -10.81%E -7.61%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -8.30%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -11.44%E -8.11%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.07%E -8.62%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.99%EV -4.95%E -0.839%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.99%EV -4.95%E -0.839%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.32%E -9.65%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.32%E -9.65%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.26%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 07:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.87%EV -9.62%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.85%EV -4.30%E -0.947%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.30%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -10.81%E -7.61%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 04:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -7.67%E -5.22%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-18 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -7.67%E -5.22%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.73%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -19.45%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 08:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |