Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone v Celtic

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone (Local)

Previsão 16.11%6.21odd justa
EV +4.72%
Vantagem +0.725%
Kelly +0.857%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.44%15.98%16.03%17.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.865.786.5020.00%17.05%17.30%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Celtic (Visitante)

Previsão 62.81%1.59odd justa
EV -4.53%
Vantagem -2.98%
Kelly -8.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.32%62.96%62.89%65.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.461.461.5272.46%68.33%68.49%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.08%4.74odd justa
EV +0.127%
Vantagem +0.027%
Kelly +0.034%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.88%21.06%21.08%21.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.394.404.7523.81%22.78%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Johnstone (Local): 16.11%; Celtic (Visitante): 62.81%; Empate: 21.08%. Para St Johnstone (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.21. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.72%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.72%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV +0.127%E +0.027%K +0.034%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 08:34
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.72%E +0.725%K +0.857%G +0.040%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.10%E +0.485%K +0.575%G +0.018%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -3.03%E -0.660%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 00:25
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:04
Grosvenor🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:05
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:05
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:04
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.688%E +0.110%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.12%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:04
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 07:29
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 07:29
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -10.81%E -7.61%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -8.30%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 22:05
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -11.44%E -8.11%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -3.34%E -0.557%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.07%E -8.62%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 22:04
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.99%EV -4.95%E -0.839%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:55
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.99%EV -4.95%E -0.839%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.32%E -9.65%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -6.56%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.32%E -9.65%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 22:04
1xBet🎯5.76I 17.36%NM 16.26%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 08:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 07:30
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 05:49
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 05:49
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 05:49
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 07:30
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 04:54
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.37%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.92%E -6.15%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 04:54
Pinnacle🎯5.61I 17.83%NM 16.87%EV -9.62%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.85%EV -4.30%E -0.947%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 08:40
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 05:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.30%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:19
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:25
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:19
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.39%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -10.81%E -7.61%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 19:04
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 04:18
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.01%E -2.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -7.67%E -5.22%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 19:09
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -15.42%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -7.67%E -5.22%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.73%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:35
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -19.45%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.55%E -6.63%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 08:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60%1.8%2026-08-21 09:05
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%12.5%2026-08-15 14:34