Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.

Inizio: 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

Finale: Motherwell 0–0 Falkirk F.C.

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Motherwell (Casa)

Previsione 51.71%1.93quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.98%51.71%51.70%53.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.811.801.8958.48%55.40%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.78%4.39quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.365%
Kelly -0.474%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.85%22.83%22.81%24.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.024.004.3226.67%24.90%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.51%3.92quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -0.467%
Kelly -0.631%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.62%25.45%25.50%26.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.643.603.8529.41%27.51%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Motherwell (Casa): 51.71%; Falkirk F.C. (Trasferta): 22.78%; Pareggio: 25.51%. Per Falkirk F.C. (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.39. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.32, con un valore atteso del -1.58%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.62%EV -7.27%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -1.58%E -0.365%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 06:39
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.08%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -5.89%E -3.24%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.24%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:44
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:49
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.65%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.73%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -1.80%E -0.467%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 04:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 08:04
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.17%E -0.746%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.17%E -0.746%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.08%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:43
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.96%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.01%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.66%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 12:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-08-09 13:55