Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Motherwell (Local): 51.71%; Falkirk F.C. (Visitante): 22.78%; Empate: 25.51%. Para Falkirk F.C. (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.39. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.32, con un valor esperado de -1.58%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.62%EV -7.27%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -1.58%E -0.365%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 06:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.08%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -5.89%E -3.24%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.24%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.65%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.73%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -1.80%E -0.467%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 08:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 04:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.17%E -0.746%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.17%E -0.746%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.08%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 12:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.96%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.01%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.66%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 12:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |