Idioma:Español
Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.
Resultado del partido
Motherwell (Local)
Predicción 51.09%1.96momio equitativo
EV -4.45%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -5.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.01%51.11%51.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.821.831.8757.80%54.89%54.64%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)
Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.771%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.45%23.65%23.59%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.933.934.1027.78%25.45%25.45%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.29%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.686%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%25.34%25.30%26.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.643.603.8528.99%27.44%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Motherwell (Local): 51.09%; Falkirk F.C. (Visitante): 23.62%; Empate: 25.29%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.95. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.85, con un valor esperado de -2.64%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -4.45%E -2.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.64%E -0.686%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.53%EV -4.58%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.92%EV -5.99%E -3.25%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -7.41%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -5.93%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.03%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.03%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.03%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.78%EV -8.54%E -4.77%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.05%E -5.09%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.56%E -5.40%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.76%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |