Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : Motherwell 0–0 Falkirk F.C.

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motherwell (Local)

Prévision 51.71%1.93cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.98%51.71%51.70%53.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.811.801.8958.48%55.40%55.56%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.78%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.474%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%22.83%22.81%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.024.004.3226.67%24.90%25.00%23.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.51%3.92cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.467%
Kelly -0.631%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.62%25.45%25.50%26.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.603.8529.41%27.51%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Motherwell (Local) : 51.71% ; Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur) : 22.78% ; Match nul : 25.51%. Pour Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.39. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.32, pour une espérance de -1.58% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.62%EV -7.27%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -1.58%E -0.365%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 06:39
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.34%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.08%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -5.89%E -3.24%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.24%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:44
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:49
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.65%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.73%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -1.80%E -0.467%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 04:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 08:04
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.17%E -0.746%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.17%E -0.746%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.08%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:43
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.96%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.01%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -8.99%E -5.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.73%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.66%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 12:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-08-09 13:55