Language:English
Motherwell v Dundee United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motherwell (Local)
Prediction 69.46%1.44fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -6.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.82%69.40%69.50%70.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.341.351.4083.33%74.40%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundee United (Visit)
Prediction 11.52%8.68fair odd
EV +5.63%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 9.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.48%11.51%11.52%12.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.257.998.009.1713.79%12.51%12.50%10.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.02%5.26fair odd
EV -0.146%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.03%19.10%18.98%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.814.755.2523.26%20.77%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motherwell (Local): 69.46%; Dundee United (Visit): 11.52%; Draw: 19.02%. For Dundee United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.68. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.65%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.48%EV +5.63%E +0.614%K +0.689%G +0.039% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.88%EV -3.19%E -0.627%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.52%EV +5.40%E +0.590%K +0.662%G +0.036% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.69%EV -2.05%E -0.398%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV +1.37%E +0.155%K +0.175%G +0.002% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV +1.37%E +0.155%K +0.175%G +0.002% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.21%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +0.791%E +0.090%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.24%E -0.386%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.85%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.53%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.21%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.64%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.21%EV -5.54%E -0.676%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.75%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.75%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.146%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.146%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.80%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.10%E -0.211%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.10%E -0.211%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -12.46%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.49%EV -16.65%E -13.87%K -83.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.12%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.39%EV -18.22%E -4.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.59%EV -10.39%E -8.06%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.96%EV -14.76%E -1.99%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.45%EV -13.46%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -11.78%E -9.28%K -43.64%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -16.49%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -16.31%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.07% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |