L’École des cotes

Motherwell v Dundee United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Motherwell (Local)

Prévision 69.46%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -6.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.82%69.40%69.50%70.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.341.351.4083.33%74.40%74.07%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee United (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.52%8.68cote équitable
EV +5.63%
Avantage +0.614%
Kelly +0.689%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 9.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.48%11.51%11.52%12.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.257.998.009.1713.79%12.51%12.50%10.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.02%5.26cote équitable
EV -0.146%
Avantage -0.028%
Kelly -0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%19.10%18.98%20.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.814.755.2523.26%20.77%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.65%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.48%EV +5.63%E +0.614%K +0.689%G +0.039%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.88%EV -3.19%E -0.627%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.52%EV +5.40%E +0.590%K +0.662%G +0.036%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.69%EV -2.05%E -0.398%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV +1.37%E +0.155%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV +1.37%E +0.155%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.21%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +0.791%E +0.090%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:54
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:56
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.24%E -0.386%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.85%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.53%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.21%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.64%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.21%EV -5.54%E -0.676%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.75%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:56
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.75%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.146%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.146%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.80%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.10%E -0.211%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.10%E -0.211%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -12.46%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:56
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:56
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:50
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:56
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:56
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.49%EV -16.65%E -13.87%K -83.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.12%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.39%EV -18.22%E -4.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.59%EV -10.39%E -8.06%K -35.84%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.96%EV -14.76%E -1.99%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.45%EV -13.46%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -11.78%E -9.28%K -43.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -16.49%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -16.31%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 71.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%0.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-02-28 14:55