La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Motherwell v Dundee United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motherwell (Local)
Predicción 69.46%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -6.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.82%69.40%69.50%70.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.341.351.4083.33%74.40%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundee United (Visitante)
Predicción 11.52%8.68momio equitativo
EV +5.63%
Ventaja +0.614%
Kelly +0.689%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.48%11.51%11.52%12.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.257.998.009.1713.79%12.51%12.50%10.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.02%5.26momio equitativo
EV -0.146%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.03%19.10%18.98%20.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.814.755.2523.26%20.77%21.05%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.65%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.48%EV +5.63%E +0.614%K +0.689%G +0.039% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.88%EV -3.19%E -0.627%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.52%EV +5.40%E +0.590%K +0.662%G +0.036% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.69%EV -2.05%E -0.398%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV +1.37%E +0.155%K +0.175%G +0.002% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV +1.37%E +0.155%K +0.175%G +0.002% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.21%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +0.791%E +0.090%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.68%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.09%E -0.246%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -3.24%E -0.386%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.85%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.53%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.21%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -4.97%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.64%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.21%EV -5.54%E -0.676%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.75%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.75%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.146%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.146%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.71%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.80%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.85%E -0.981%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.10%E -0.211%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.10%E -0.211%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -10.73%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -8.31%E -6.30%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -12.46%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -4.14%E -3.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.90%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.53%E -4.07%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -6.23%E -4.61%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -10.61%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.51%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.49%EV -16.65%E -13.87%K -83.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.12%EV -13.61%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.39%EV -18.22%E -4.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.59%EV -10.39%E -8.06%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.96%EV -14.76%E -1.99%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.45%EV -13.46%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -11.78%E -9.28%K -43.64%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -16.49%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -16.31%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.07% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |