Language:English
Livingston v St Mirren
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Livingston (Local)
Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV +0.260%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.097%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%27.44%27.36%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.403.6733.33%30.02%29.41%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Mirren (Visit)
Prediction 45.58%2.19fair odd
EV +0.276%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.230%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.16%45.44%45.56%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.072.082.2052.63%48.26%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.39%27.12%27.08%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.6433.33%29.35%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Livingston (Local): 27.32%; St Mirren (Visit): 45.58%; Draw: 27.10%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.276%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV +0.276%E +0.125%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV +0.276%E +0.125%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -3.37%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 09:27 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 09:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -0.832%E -0.229%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -1.35%E -0.371%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 09:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV +0.260%E +0.071%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -3.25%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -5.48%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.94%E -6.78%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -13.40%E -7.05%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |