Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Livingston v St Mirren

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Livingston (Local)

Predicción 27.32%3.66momio equitativo
EV +0.260%
Ventaja +0.071%
Kelly +0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%27.44%27.36%29.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.403.6733.33%30.02%29.41%27.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Mirren (Visitante)

Predicción 45.58%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.276%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.230%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.16%45.44%45.56%47.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.072.082.2052.63%48.26%48.08%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.371%
Kelly -0.512%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.39%27.12%27.08%28.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.6433.33%29.35%29.41%27.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Livingston (Local): 27.32%; St Mirren (Visitante): 45.58%; Empate: 27.10%. Para St Mirren (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.19. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.276%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV +0.276%E +0.125%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV +0.276%E +0.125%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:34
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -3.37%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:54
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 09:27
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:28
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:29
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -0.832%E -0.229%K -0.317%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -1.35%E -0.371%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 09:29
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
1xBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV +0.260%E +0.071%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -3.25%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -5.48%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.94%E -6.78%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -13.40%E -7.05%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-02-28 14:55