L’École des cotes

Livingston v St Mirren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Livingston (Local)

Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV +0.260%
Avantage +0.071%
Kelly +0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.13%27.44%27.36%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.403.6733.33%30.02%29.41%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Mirren (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.58%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.276%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.230%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.16%45.44%45.56%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.072.082.2052.63%48.26%48.08%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.371%
Kelly -0.512%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.39%27.12%27.08%28.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.6433.33%29.35%29.41%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV +0.276%E +0.125%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:35
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV +0.276%E +0.125%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:34
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.636%E -0.292%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:51
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -3.37%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:54
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 09:27
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:28
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:29
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 14:34
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 14:35
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Pinnacle3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -0.832%E -0.229%K -0.317%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -1.35%E -0.371%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 09:29
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
1xBet3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV +0.260%E +0.071%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -3.25%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -5.48%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.94%E -6.78%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -13.40%E -7.05%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-02-28 14:55