StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Livingston v Kilmarnock

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Livingston (Hemma)

Prognos 33.45%2.99rättvist odds
EV -3.99%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -2.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.50%33.50%33.46%34.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.572.782.802.8738.91%35.93%35.71%34.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Borta)

Prognos 39.84%2.51rättvist odds
EV -4.39%
Fördel -1.83%
Kelly -3.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.28%39.83%39.88%40.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.172.342.352.4046.08%42.76%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.71%3.74rättvist odds
EV -1.18%
Fördel -0.319%
Kelly -0.437%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.51%26.67%26.65%27.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.473.453.7030.77%28.83%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Livingston (Hemma): 33.45%; Kilmarnock (Borta): 39.84%; Oavgjort: 26.71%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.74. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.70, med väntevärdet -1.18%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 04:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:05
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.99%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.32%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:03
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:15
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:20
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:10
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:11
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Bovada🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:59
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.18%E -0.319%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 08:16
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.35%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.36%E -5.62%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 08:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 33.61%EV -14.02%E -5.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.81%EV -13.55%E -6.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-05-17 06:51
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40