A Escola das Odds

Livingston v Kilmarnock

Início: 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

Final: Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Livingston (Local)

Previsão 33.45%2.99odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.50%33.50%33.46%34.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.572.782.802.8738.91%35.93%35.71%34.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kilmarnock (Visitante)

Previsão 39.84%2.51odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.28%39.83%39.88%40.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.172.342.352.4046.08%42.76%42.55%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.71%3.74odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.319%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.51%26.67%26.65%27.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.473.453.7030.77%28.83%28.99%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 04:46
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:00
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:20
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:20
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:05
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.99%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.32%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:03
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:15
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:19
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:04
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:20
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:20
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:10
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:11
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:11
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:59
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.18%E -0.319%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 08:16
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 13:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:20
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.35%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.36%E -5.62%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 08:05
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.61%EV -14.02%E -5.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.81%EV -13.55%E -6.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-05-17 06:51
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40