مدرسة الاحتمالات

Livingston v Kilmarnock

البداية: 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Livingston (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.45%2.99السعر العادل
EV -3.99%
الأفضلية -1.39%
Kelly -2.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.50%33.50%33.46%34.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.572.782.802.8738.91%35.93%35.71%34.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kilmarnock (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.84%2.51السعر العادل
EV -4.39%
الأفضلية -1.83%
Kelly -3.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.28%39.83%39.88%40.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.342.352.4046.08%42.76%42.55%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.71%3.74السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.319%
Kelly -0.437%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.51%26.67%26.65%27.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.473.453.7030.77%28.83%28.99%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 04:46
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:00
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:20
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:20
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:05
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.99%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.32%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:03
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:15
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:19
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:04
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:20
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:20
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:10
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:11
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:11
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:59
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.18%E -0.319%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 08:16
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 13:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 13:20
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:20
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 13:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.35%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.36%E -5.62%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 08:05
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.61%EV -14.02%E -5.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.81%EV -13.55%E -6.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-17 10:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-05-17 06:51
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40