La escuela de los momiosLivingston v Kilmarnock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Livingston (Local)
Predicción 33.45%2.99momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.50%33.50%33.46%34.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.572.782.802.8738.91%35.93%35.71%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kilmarnock (Visitante)
Predicción 39.84%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.28%39.83%39.88%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.342.352.4046.08%42.76%42.55%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%26.67%26.65%27.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.473.453.7030.77%28.83%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 04:46 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.99%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.32%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 08:03 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 08:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:11 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:11 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Bovada | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:59 |
| BetUS | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.18%E -0.319%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 08:16 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 08:16 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.08%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.35%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.36%E -5.62%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.61%EV -14.02%E -5.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.81%EV -13.55%E -6.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-05-17 06:51 |
| Smarkets | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |