Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 7.50
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Livingston (Local): 14.66%; Hearts (Visit): 63.50%; Draw: 21.84%. For Livingston (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.82. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 12:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.93%EV +1.45%E +0.209%K +0.245%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.26%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -3.49%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.37%EV -2.36%E -0.355%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.17%E -0.965%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.17%E -0.965%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -7.64%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -13.50%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.71%EV -13.50%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.33%EV -13.00%E -9.49%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.96%EV -13.75%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -14.97%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -14.97%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |