La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Livingston v Hearts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Livingston (Local)
Predicción 14.66%6.82momio equitativo
EV +9.95%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.17%14.50%14.69%16.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.806.646.507.5017.24%15.06%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hearts (Visitante)
Predicción 63.50%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -8.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.20%63.73%63.51%67.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.31%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.84%4.58momio equitativo
EV +0.443%
Ventaja +0.096%
Kelly +0.123%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.37%21.77%21.80%22.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.334.404.6025.32%23.08%22.73%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| BetRivers | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| betPARX | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 12:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Pinnacle | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.93%EV +1.45%E +0.209%K +0.245%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.26%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -3.49%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.37%EV -2.36%E -0.355%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| DraftKings | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:53 |
| Everygame | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betsson | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.17%E -0.965%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.17%E -0.965%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -7.64%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| BetUS | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -13.50%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.71%EV -13.50%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.33%EV -13.00%E -9.49%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.96%EV -13.75%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Neds | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -14.97%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -14.97%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |