A Escola das Odds

Livingston v Hearts

Início: 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Livingston (Local)

Previsão 14.66%6.82odd justa
EV +9.95%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.152%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.17%14.50%14.69%16.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.806.646.507.5017.24%15.06%15.38%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hearts (Visitante)

Previsão 63.50%1.57odd justa
EV -4.11%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -8.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.20%63.73%63.51%67.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.31%69.44%66.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.84%4.58odd justa
EV +0.443%
Vantagem +0.096%
Kelly +0.123%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.37%21.77%21.80%22.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.334.404.6025.32%23.08%22.73%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-05 12:15
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-05 12:20
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-05 12:19
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-05 12:19
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +0.443%E +0.096%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-05 12:19
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:19
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:10
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:20
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:19
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -12.36%E -8.96%K -32.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 12:19
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:20
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:19
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +9.95%E +1.33%K +1.53%G +0.152%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -13.63%E -10.03%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:20
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 12:35
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 12:35
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -9.82%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:43
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV +2.62%E +0.375%K +0.437%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Pinnacle6.92I 14.45%NM 13.93%EV +1.45%E +0.209%K +0.245%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.26%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -3.49%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 12:45
1xBet6.66I 15.02%NM 14.37%EV -2.36%E -0.355%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 12:50
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:44
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 12:35
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 12:45
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:35
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:53
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:35
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:35
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.71%E -0.724%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:45
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.17%E -0.965%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 12:45
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.17%E -0.965%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 12:45
Marathon Bet6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -7.64%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:45
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:45
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -8.37%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -9.38%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 12:35
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 12:35
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.45%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 12:34
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.74%E -0.387%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 12:45
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:34
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:45
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 12:45
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 12:35
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 12:35
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 12:34
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 12:35
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 12:35
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.04%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.66%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 12:35
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -13.50%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.29%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 12:34
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.71%EV -13.50%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.33%EV -13.00%E -9.49%K -35.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.96%EV -13.75%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 12:45
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -14.97%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -14.97%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.92%E -0.892%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 12:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 12:45
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 12:45
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-04-05 12:45