Language:English
Kilmarnock v Livingston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kilmarnock (Local)
Prediction 52.04%1.92fair odd
EV -0.610%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.670%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.69%51.93%52.12%53.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.801.801.9162.50%55.45%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Livingston (Visit)
Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV +0.192%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.056%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.67%22.61%24.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.77%25.00%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.35%3.95fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.39%25.27%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.653.653.8529.85%27.42%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kilmarnock (Local): 52.04%; Livingston (Visit): 22.62%; Draw: 25.35%. For Livingston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.192%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.06%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -2.67%E -0.695%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -9.46%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -0.486%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -3.65%E -0.857%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -2.42%E -0.628%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.73%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -9.46%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:32 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.14%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.14%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -4.25%E -2.31%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -0.610%E -0.319%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -0.610%E -0.319%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.78%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.44%EV -14.14%E -8.57%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.08%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.67%EV -16.74%E -10.46%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.16%EV -15.09%E -4.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |