L’École des cotes

Kilmarnock v Livingston

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 52.04%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.610%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.670%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.69%51.93%52.12%53.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.801.801.9162.50%55.45%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Livingston (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.62%4.42cote équitable
EV +0.192%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.34%22.67%22.61%24.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.77%25.00%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.35%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -0.848%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.39%25.27%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.653.653.8529.85%27.42%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.06%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -2.67%E -0.695%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 14:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -9.46%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -0.486%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:33
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:39
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -3.65%E -0.857%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -2.42%E -0.628%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 14:49
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.73%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:54
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -9.46%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:32
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:39
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:33
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:34
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.14%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:39
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.14%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:38
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -4.25%E -2.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:35
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:38
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -0.610%E -0.319%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:20
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -0.610%E -0.319%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:19
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 10:20
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 10:20
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.78%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.44%EV -14.14%E -8.57%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.08%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:35
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 14:40
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.67%EV -16.74%E -10.46%K -27.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.16%EV -15.09%E -4.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-21 14:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 11:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-03-21 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-03-21 14:35