La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Kilmarnock v Livingston
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kilmarnock (Local)
Predicción 52.04%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.610%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.670%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.69%51.93%52.12%53.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.801.801.9162.50%55.45%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Livingston (Visitante)
Predicción 22.62%4.42momio equitativo
EV +0.192%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.056%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.67%22.61%24.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.77%25.00%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.35%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.39%25.27%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.653.653.8529.85%27.42%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.06%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -2.67%E -0.695%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -9.46%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -0.486%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -2.07%E -0.478%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -3.65%E -0.857%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -2.42%E -0.628%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.73%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -9.46%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -3.88%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:32 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.68%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.14%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.14%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -4.25%E -2.31%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -0.610%E -0.319%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -0.610%E -0.319%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 10:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.78%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.44%EV -14.14%E -8.57%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.08%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.67%EV -16.74%E -10.46%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.16%EV -15.09%E -4.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |