赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Kilmarnock v Hearts

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC

最终结果： Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kilmarnock (主队)

预测 21.16%4.73公平赔率
EV +1.80%
优势 +0.374%
Kelly +0.472%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 4.81

博彩公司预测分布
19.79%21.10%21.24%22.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.384.404.8124.39%22.81%22.73%20.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hearts (客队)

预测 55.01%1.82公平赔率
EV -0.982%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.91%55.04%54.99%56.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.691.701.8062.11%59.02%58.82%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.83%4.20公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -0.683%
Kelly -0.905%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.08

博彩公司预测分布
22.95%23.86%23.77%25.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.893.904.0827.03%25.71%25.64%24.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kilmarnock (主队)：21.16%；Hearts (客队)：55.01%；平局：23.83%。 对于“Kilmarnock (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.73。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.81，对应+1.80%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 19.96%EV +1.80%E +0.374%K +0.472%G +0.008%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 16:44
Pinnacle🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.529%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.06%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.63%EV -2.79%E -0.683%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:40
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +0.529%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:25
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.530%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -9.23%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:23
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.65%E -0.575%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -3.70%E -0.814%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -6.60%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:44
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:34
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 16:30
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:28
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 07:30
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:25
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -8.68%E -5.23%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:33
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:34
BetUS🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.82%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:44
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:44
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.94%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:30
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:49
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:44
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 16:44
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -10.05%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.85%EV -9.78%E -5.97%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:50
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -0.982%E -0.546%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.23%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -9.78%E -5.97%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:44
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -11.43%E -7.10%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 16:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -10.33%E -6.34%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 16:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81%-0.0%2026-09-19 16:40
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-09-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-19 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-09-19 16:44
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-09-19 16:25